Atlético Guanare vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ATG
0 - 2
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 1
ATG
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ATG
1 - 2
ULA
45%
24%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
TIT
2 - 3
ATG
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ATG
2 - 3
ZAM
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 1
URE
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ULA
1 - 1
URE
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
URE
3 - 1
TIT
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
URE
3 - 1
EST
38%
25%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
URE
1 - 0
FRO
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |