Atlético Gloriense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
ATG
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ATG
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
BAH
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JAC
2 - 2
SER
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
FFC
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 1
SER
34%
30%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |