Atlético Gloriense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ATG
2 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 1
ATG
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ATG
1 - 1
CON
6%
13%
80%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 0
BOC
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 3
ATG
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
5 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LAG
1 - 0
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
LAG
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 0
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |