Atlético Estado de México vs Deportivo Tepic JAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Estado de México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AEM
0 - 0
QUE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
PAC
0 - 0
AEM
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AEM
2 - 5
TEM
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
AEM
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AEM
2 - 0
NEX
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic JAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IRA
5 - 4
TEP
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 0
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 2
TEP
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 4
ZAC
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |