Atlético Espeleño vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
ESP
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
CDA
58%
23%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
PIL
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 3
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
POZ
59%
23%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NER
3 - 2
PIL
74%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDP
5 - 1
NER
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NER
3 - 0
POZ
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
3 - 4
NER
10%
17%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NER
1 - 0
ATC
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |