Atlético Espeleño vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 0
ADS
61%
21%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 1
ESP
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
EST
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 3
ESP
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 1
PIL
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDP
2 - 2
UDM
55%
23%
23%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 3
POZ
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
UDM
19%
23%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 0
ATC
54%
23%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |