Atlético Espeleño vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
ESP
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
LCF
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 1
ESP
42%
23%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 2
ESP
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
PEN
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ATC
3 - 1
PIL
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 2
ATC
39%
25%
36%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATC
1 - 0
POZ
26%
25%
49%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
ATC
3 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDA
3 - 1
ATC
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |