Atlético Espeleño vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 2
ARC
37%
25%
37%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 1
UTR
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
ESP
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
REC
3 - 2
ESP
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAB
28%
24%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
ALC
77%
14%
8%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
SEV
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDA
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |