Atlético dos Castros vs Marte CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
19%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
OZA
2 - 4
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
REL
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 2
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
8 - 3
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
5 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 8
COR
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAR
49%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
SCD
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
SIQ
26%
21%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OZA
4 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |