Atlético dos Castros vs Marola CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 3
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
SIQ
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
OZA
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
REL
1 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
TOR
14%
18%
69%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Marola CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 1
CDC
34%
22%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
COR
4 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
SCD
20%
20%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
6 - 1
MAR
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
SIQ
19%
19%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |