Atlético dos Castros vs Español SDC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CIU
3 - 0
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
UNI
23%
22%
56%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COC
2 - 2
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
LIC
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ORZ
1 - 1
CAS
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Español SDC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
CDC
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
ESP
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
ESP
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
4 - 0
SIQ
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |