Atlético CP vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
10º
1º
26
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
USA
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
1DE
2 - 1
ATL
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 2
ATL
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
RIO
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SCP
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 0
LUS
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |