Atlético CP vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
2º
30
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 3
ATL
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VST
0 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
VIA
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 0
SCP
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 0
AMO
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
REA
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 3
SCP
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |