Atlético CP vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
PIN
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
SAC
18%
25%
58%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SIN
6 - 0
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 1
LUS
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 1
LOU
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |