Atlético CP vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
VIT
1 - 1
ATL
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 2
FCP
36%
21%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 2
ATL
34%
21%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ATL
5 - 1
VST
63%
18%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
SLB
3 - 1
ATL
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
OLH
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 0
VIT
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 1
LUS
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCP
14%
17%
69%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
BOA
6 - 1
LUS
71%
16%
14%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |