Atlético CP vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
FCP
1 - 1
ATL
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 0
VST
74%
14%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATL
48%
21%
31%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 4
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATL
83%
10%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
VIT
45%
23%
33%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCP
15%
17%
69%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
VST
2 - 0
LUS
72%
15%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
LUS
5 - 1
ACA
54%
19%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 1
LUS
95%
4%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |