Atlético Concepción vs Villa Cubas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ATL
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
5 - 1
ATL
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
AGU
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
TFR
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Cubas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
POL
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
TFR
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 3
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
BVT
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |