Atlético Concepción vs Deportivo Aguilares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATL
14%
23%
64%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
LIB
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATL
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAS
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
AGU
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
LAS
52%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
AGU
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
CON
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +4 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 0
AGU
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |