Atlético Concepción vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUC
3 - 0
ATL
13%
19%
68%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
ATL
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
ATL
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
SPO
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
CAG
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
COM
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LAS
2 - 0
COM
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
COM
2 - 3
CCU
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
COM
5 - 0
CSC
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |