Atlético Concepción vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
CCU
87%
10%
4%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
COM
2 - 2
ATL
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
JUC
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
ATL
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 0
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
FAM
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ABL
0 - 0
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
BVT
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
PRO
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |