Atlético Concepción vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TFR
1 - 2
ATL
11%
17%
71%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
BVT
81%
13%
5%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ATL
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
5 - 1
ATL
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
POL
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
AGU
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
POL
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POL
3 - 3
TFR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |