Atlético Concarán vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EFI
2 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SVQ
3 - 0
CON
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
SJU
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DPF
2 - 1
CON
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 4
SVQ
13%
17%
71%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
CSP
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2021 |
CAH
1 - 0
NEW
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
CAH
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
EFI
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
AFT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |