Atlético Colon Junior vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Colon Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DES
1 - 1
ACJ
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ACJ
0 - 0
ATE
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACJ
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATE
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 1
IND
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
SPO
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +4 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 0
IND
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |