Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 3-3
Atlético Colon Junior vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Colon Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ACJ
1 - 1
JUV
32%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
ACJ
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ACJ
0 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACJ
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
ACJ
5 - 1
TRI
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAP
6 - 0
CHY
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 0
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 2
CAP
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CHY
2 - 1
CAP
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAP
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |