A. Candeleda vs Navatalgordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PRA
2 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
BOS
43%
22%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HOY
2 - 1
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
6 - 0
MIJ
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 1
ATL
33%
21%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Navatalgordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
RAM
77%
13%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PIE
2 - 0
NAV
49%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
NAV
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
BOS
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HOY
7 - 3
NAV
58%
19%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |