A. Candeleda vs El Tiemblo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 0
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
4 - 0
HOY
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CUE
1 - 3
ATL
17%
19%
65%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDS
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RAM
1 - 2
ATL
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
El Tiemblo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
HOY
1 - 1
TIE
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TIE
1 - 0
CUE
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MIJ
3 - 0
TIE
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CDS
1 - 1
TIE
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TIE
3 - 1
RAM
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |