A. Candeleda vs Guisando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATL
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FCN
0 - 6
ATL
18%
19%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TIE
1 - 1
ATL
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BUR
3 - 1
ATL
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HOY
1 - 3
ATL
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guisando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
5 - 3
HOY
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 3
CUE
21%
18%
61%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CDS
4 - 1
GUI
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 3
RAM
36%
21%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
GUI
28%
21%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |