A. Candeleda vs Bosco de Arévalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HOY
2 - 1
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
6 - 0
MIJ
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 1
ATL
33%
21%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAS
16%
17%
67%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
ATL
22%
19%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bosco de Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BOS
5 - 0
RAM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
BOS
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOS
2 - 0
PRA
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PIE
1 - 1
BOS
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HOY
3 - 4
BOS
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |