Atlético Calañas vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Calañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CDH
0 - 1
ATL
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 3
ATL
28%
25%
47%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 2
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDE
1 - 1
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDR
47%
24%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NER
3 - 2
RIO
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDA
3 - 0
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NER
0 - 2
REP
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEA
3 - 1
NER
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NER
1 - 2
VAL
25%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |