Atlético de Madrid C vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
ATM
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 3
PBO
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MEX
1 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
POZ
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAJ
3 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
VLO
46%
26%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
ARA
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
PBO
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARA
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |