Atlético de Madrid C vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 2
ATM
55%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 2
LEG
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MST
4 - 0
ATM
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 0
COB
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
STA
1 - 2
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ARA
0 - 1
RMC
30%
26%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PEG
4 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ARA
0 - 1
CIE
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LEG
0 - 1
ARA
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ARA
0 - 3
GET
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |