Atlético de Madrid C vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
ATM
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
POZ
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 2
ATM
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMC
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
INT
1 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 0
FUE
13%
22%
65%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VLO
1 - 0
CDF
68%
21%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 1
MST
18%
25%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAJ
0 - 0
CDF
75%
17%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDF
0 - 1
VAL
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |