Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 10-5
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
PAT
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
BUC
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAS
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
BUC
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
ONC
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
REA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 0
REA
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
REA
0 - 3
TFC
63%
24%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RSC
4 - 2
REA
34%
29%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |