Atlético Bucaramanga vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 0
BUC
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
4 - 1
CEN
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 0
SAB
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 1
BUC
27%
27%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
CUC
3 - 0
BUC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
REA
3 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RSC
3 - 2
REA
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 0
REA
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
REA
4 - 0
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |