Atl. Astorga vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CDF
1 - 2
AST
53%
24%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
AST
2 - 1
ZAM
32%
34%
33%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
1 - 0
AST
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
TOR
4 - 1
AST
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
AST
3 - 2
CDF
66%
21%
14%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CAC
1 - 1
MED
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
VAL
4 - 0
CAC
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CAC
3 - 0
LAG
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
CAC
2 - 0
LAG
63%
21%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAC
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |