Atl. Astorga vs Sabero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
PEN
3 - 1
AST
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
AST
0 - 0
LEO
24%
26%
50%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
SLA
6 - 0
AST
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
AST
2 - 3
HUL
27%
25%
49%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CIU
5 - 1
AST
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sabero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SDS
1 - 0
BÉJ
27%
25%
49%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ACF
2 - 0
SDS
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
PEN
1 - 1
SDS
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
SDS
0 - 1
LEO
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SLA
5 - 0
SDS
86%
10%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -1 |