Atl. Astorga vs Racing Lermeño CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BEC
1 - 4
AST
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AST
0 - 0
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 0
AST
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
SAL
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AVI
1 - 1
AST
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Lermeño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LER
1 - 1
SEG
13%
20%
68%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
LER
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LER
0 - 4
ACF
13%
21%
66%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
LER
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LER
0 - 1
SDA
21%
25%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |