Atl. Astorga vs Guijuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AVI
0 - 1
AST
53%
24%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
AST
0 - 1
MIR
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CIU
0 - 0
AST
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AST
0 - 1
NUM
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CCF
1 - 0
CDG
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CDG
3 - 0
CIU
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NUM
1 - 2
CDG
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 2
CDG
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CDG
5 - 0
STM
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |