Atl. Astorga vs Palencia Cristo Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AST
4 - 1
CDH
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SDA
1 - 0
AST
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 1
AST
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AST
5 - 2
PON
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia Cristo Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 0
ISC
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CDH
2 - 2
CAT
29%
27%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVI
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 2
CAT
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PON
0 - 1
CAT
17%
24%
60%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |