Atl. Astorga vs Toreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
CAB
2 - 0
AST
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
AST
4 - 2
BAÑ
82%
13%
5%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
VDB
2 - 3
AST
38%
27%
36%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
AST
1 - 1
SAL
43%
28%
29%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CFB
1 - 2
AST
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
TOR
3 - 1
TOR
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
SAL
0 - 2
TOR
25%
29%
47%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAL
23%
27%
51%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
MED
1 - 0
TOR
44%
28%
28%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
TOR
2 - 2
BÉJ
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |