Atl. Astorga vs Toreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
CUL
4 - 1
AST
63%
24%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
VDB
1 - 4
AST
23%
29%
49%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
AST
1 - 2
CDG
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
AST
3 - 0
CFP
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
CDU
1 - 1
AST
33%
28%
39%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
TOR
3 - 1
CDG
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
CFP
0 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
TOR
2 - 1
CDU
61%
23%
17%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
TOR
2 - 0
SAL
54%
26%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ACF
2 - 0
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |