Atl. Astorga vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
AST
0 - 2
VDB
47%
27%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
SAL
1 - 0
AST
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
AST
2 - 0
LEO
33%
29%
38%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
CPM
1 - 2
AST
19%
26%
56%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
AST
2 - 2
LER
29%
28%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
COV
1 - 1
BAÑ
28%
29%
43%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
VDB
2 - 1
COV
62%
22%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
COV
0 - 0
ATB
25%
28%
47%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
SAL
0 - 0
COV
77%
15%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
COV
0 - 0
RIB
28%
27%
45%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |