Atl. Astorga vs Júpiter Leonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
ACF
1 - 1
AST
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AST
3 - 1
GRA
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
AVI
1 - 0
AST
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AST
3 - 2
LEO
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
UXA
2 - 4
AST
7%
16%
78%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Júpiter Leonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
STM
4 - 2
LEO
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 1
SDA
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AST
3 - 2
LEO
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
6 - 0
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |