Atl. Astorga vs Becerril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 1
AST
15%
22%
63%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AST
3 - 0
CFS
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LVC
1 - 0
AST
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AST
3 - 0
TOR
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 1
AST
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
BEC
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BEC
3 - 4
CAT
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
STM
1 - 0
BEC
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BEC
2 - 1
CDB
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 5
BEC
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |