Atl. Astorga vs Becerril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CEB
2 - 1
AST
31%
24%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AST
1 - 3
CDG
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ISC
2 - 0
AST
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
AST
0 - 0
SAL
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ACF
4 - 2
AST
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BEC
0 - 2
BUR
13%
24%
63%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BEC
1 - 2
NUM
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
BEC
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BEC
0 - 1
AVI
17%
24%
59%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CEB
1 - 0
BEC
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |