Atl. Astorga vs Atl. Bembibre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VDB
2 - 1
AST
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AST
0 - 3
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NUM
3 - 2
AST
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AST
1 - 2
BUR
20%
26%
54%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
7 - 0
AST
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Bembibre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 1
ACF
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LER
1 - 1
CAB
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VDB
2 - 4
CAB
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 1
CAB
23%
27%
50%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |