Atl. Astorga vs Arévalo e Hijos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
SPH
4 - 0
AST
60%
22%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
AST
0 - 1
BEN
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
VEL
1 - 1
AST
34%
27%
38%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
AST
2 - 1
MED
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
CAB
0 - 3
AST
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Arévalo e Hijos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
AEH
0 - 3
LEO
20%
28%
52%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
UXA
0 - 2
AEH
48%
26%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
AEH
2 - 2
SDA
23%
27%
50%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
AEH
1 - 0
CDL
19%
26%
56%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
SPH
2 - 1
AEH
83%
13%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |