Atlético Arcos vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
14º
56
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
REB
3 - 0
ATA
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 1
OSA
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 3
PAR
34%
28%
39%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
OSL
2 - 1
ATA
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
DUM
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VSC
2 - 1
TIR
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEV
1 - 2
VSC
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VIA
0 - 2
VSC
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VSC
3 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 1
VSC
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |