Atlético Algabeño vs Puebla Farnals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Algabeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 3
ATL
36%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ADC
3 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
LCF
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla Farnals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 1
LCF
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 5
PUE
13%
25%
62%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 3
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |