Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-3
Atlantas vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlantas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 3
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
APO
2 - 2
ATL
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
STU
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ATV
0 - 7
ATL
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 13 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
TRA
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
FCL
0 - 3
HJK
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SEI
2 - 3
HJK
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
KUO
1 - 4
HJK
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
HJK
1 - 1
ROP
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
VAA
3 - 0
HJK
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |